Briefings

💰 Predicted price moves:
📈 Calafiori £5.8m (owned) — close
📈 Rogers £7.7m (owned) — close

ELITE CONSENSUS XI (upd 21:39): Verbruggen, Dubravka; Konsa, Calafiori, Hall, De Cuyper, Van Hecke; Gibbs-White, Rogers, Palmer, Groß, Barry, Schade; Haaland, João Pedro. GW6 captains: Palmer 41.7%, Haaland 33.3%, Saka 16.7%. Top moves: Kinsky>Raya, Thomas>Konsa, B.Fernandes>Rogers. Overlap 7/15 (Verbruggen, Konsa, Calafiori, Palmer, Rogers, Haaland, João Pedro). They hold Hall, De Cuyper, Van Hecke, Dubravka, Gibbs-White, Groß, Barry, Schade; we hold Kinsky, Maguire, Gomez, Diop, Thomas, Szoboszlai, Ndiaye, Isak. Watch: Palmer, Isak, João Pedro all flagged (d) in our squad.
NEW ARTICLES:
Scout: GW1-5 goal-involvement talismans: Gibbs-White & Emersonn 75%, Gakpo 67% (flagged), Belloumi (£5.1m, Hull, good fixtures) 67%, J.Pedro 60% (flagged), Leif Davis (£4.0m) 57%, only DEF on list. Chance-share section members-only.

💰 Predicted price moves:
📈 Calafiori £5.8m (owned) — close
📈 Rogers £7.7m (owned) — close

ELITE CONSENSUS XI: Verbruggen; Konsa, Calafiori, Hall; Gibbs-White, Rogers, Palmer, Groß; Haaland, João Pedro, Barry. Bench: Dubravka, De Cuyper, Van Hecke, Schade. Captains: Palmer 41.7%, Haaland 33.3%, Saka 16.7% (we have Haaland (C)). 7/15 shared; they hold Hall/Gibbs-White/Groß/Barry/Dubravka/De Cuyper/Van Hecke/Schade, we hold Kinsky/Maguire/Szoboszlai/Ndiaye/Isak/Gomez/Thomas/Diop. Watch: Palmer, João Pedro and Isak are all flagged doubtful (d) in FPL.
NEW ARTICLES: no new articles today.

Foot injury - 75% chance of playing

💰 Predicted price moves:
📈 Calafiori £5.8m (owned) — close
📈 Rogers £7.7m (owned) — close

ELITE CONSENSUS XI: Verbruggen; Konsa, Calafiori, Hall; Gibbs-White, Rogers, Palmer, Groß; Haaland, João Pedro, Barry. Bench: Dubravka, De Cuyper, Van Hecke, Schade. Elite captains: Palmer 41.7%, Haaland 33.3%, Saka 16.7% (we captain Haaland; Fix GW6 pre-deadline captain data not published yet). Overlap 7/15 shared (Verbruggen, Konsa, Calafiori, Rogers, Palmer, Haaland, João Pedro). They hold Hall/Gibbs-White/Groß/Barry/Dubravka/De Cuyper/Van Hecke/Schade; we hold Kinsky/Maguire/Szoboszlai/Ndiaye/Isak/Gomez/Thomas/Diop. Biggest gap: Groß (top scorer GW1-5, on pens/set pieces), which 11 of their XI starts over our Szoboszlai/Ndiaye slots.
NEW ARTICLES: no new articles today.

💰 Predicted price moves:
📈 Calafiori £5.8m (owned) — close
📈 Rogers £7.7m (owned) — close

ELITE CONSENSUS XI: Verbruggen; Konsa, Calafiori, Hall, De Cuyper, Van Hecke; Gibbs-White, Rogers, Palmer, Groß; Haaland, João Pedro (+Barry, Dubravka, Schade). Captains: Palmer 41.7%, Haaland 33.3%, Saka 16.7%. GW6 top moves: Kinsky->Raya, Thomas->Konsa, B.Fernandes->Rogers. 7/15 shared; they hold Hall/De Cuyper/Van Hecke/Gibbs-White/Groß/Barry/Schade/Dubravka, we hold Kinsky/Maguire/Gomez/Thomas/Szoboszlai/Ndiaye/Isak/Diop.
NEW ARTICLES:
Scout: Fulham top the ticker for GW6-10 (Ipswich, Hull, Coventry next; Man City the only bad one before GW18). Picks: Affengruber (4.5m, replaced Andersen last 2 GWs, DefCon both), Leno (4.5m save points), King (5.5m, "full faith") and Gonzalo (6.0m). Pen taker post-Jimenez unconfirmed. Overrides: Affengruber 0.70->0.85, Andersen 0.30->0.25.
Also fixed: GW5 Sunday-fixture minutes were missing from the model (weekly sweep ran too early), now refreshed.

💰 Predicted price moves:
📈 Calafiori £5.8m (owned) — close
📈 Rogers £7.7m (owned) — close

ELITE CONSENSUS XI: Verbruggen; Konsa, Calafiori, Hall; Gibbs-White, Rogers, Palmer, Groß; Haaland, João Pedro, Barry. Bench: Dubravka, De Cuyper, Van Hecke, Schade. Elite captain split (GW6): Palmer 41.7%, Haaland 33.3%, Saka 16.7% (we have Haaland (C)). Overlap 7/15 shared (Verbruggen, Konsa, Calafiori, Rogers, Palmer, Haaland, João Pedro); they hold Hall/Gibbs-White/Groß/Barry/Dubravka/De Cuyper/Van Hecke/Schade, we hold Kinsky/Maguire/Szoboszlai/Ndiaye/Isak/Gomez/Thomas/Diop.
NEW ARTICLES: no new articles today

💰 Predicted price moves:
📈 Calafiori £5.8m (owned) — close
📈 Rogers £7.7m (owned) — close

ELITE CONSENSUS XI: Verbruggen; Konsa, Calafiori, Hall; Gibbs-White, Rogers, Palmer, Groß; Haaland, João Pedro, Barry (bench Dubravka, De Cuyper, Van Hecke, Tavernier). Captain split: Palmer 41.7%, Haaland 33.3%, Saka 16.7% (we captain Haaland). 7/15 shared; they hold Hall/Gibbs-White/Groß/Barry/Dubravka/De Cuyper/Van Hecke/Tavernier, we hold Isak/Szoboszlai/Ndiaye/Maguire/Kinsky/Gomez/Thomas/Diop.
NEW ARTICLES: no new articles today

💰 Predicted price moves:
📈 Calafiori £5.8m (owned) — close
📉 Maguire £4.9m (owned) — FPL: changes tonight

ELITE CONSENSUS XI: Verbruggen; Konsa, Calafiori, Hall; Gibbs-White, Rogers, Palmer, Gross; Haaland, Joao Pedro, Barry (bench: Dubravka, De Cuyper, Van Hecke, Olusesi). Captain split: Palmer 41.7%, Haaland 33.3%, Saka 16.7%. Overlap: 7/11 shared (Verbruggen, Konsa, Calafiori, Rogers, Palmer, Haaland, Joao Pedro); they hold Hall/Gibbs-White/Gross/Barry, we hold Isak/Szoboszlai/Ndiaye/Maguire/Kinsky. Note our captain is Haaland, the elites lean Palmer. Fix captain reveal page for GW6 is still pre-deadline ("machine learning in progress"), so no fresh captain projections beyond the split above.

NEW ARTICLES: no new articles today (no Fix or Scout blog text scraped).

💰 Predicted price moves:
📈 Calafiori £5.8m (owned) — close
📉 João Pedro £7.8m (owned) — FPL: changes tonight
📉 Maguire £4.9m (owned) — FPL: changes tomorrow

ELITE CONSENSUS XI (upd 21 Sep, GW6): Verbruggen; Konsa, Calafiori, Hall; Gibbs-White, Rogers, Palmer, Gross; Haaland, Joao Pedro, Barry. Bench: Dubravka, De Cuyper, Van Hecke, Olusesi. Captain split: Palmer 41.7%, Haaland 33.3%, Saka 16.7%. Top elite transfers: Kinsky>Raya, Thomas>Konsa, B.Fernandes>Rogers (we already made the Konsa and Rogers moves; we still hold Kinsky AND Thomas, both of which the elites just sold). Overlap 7/15: shared Verbruggen, Konsa, Calafiori, Palmer, Rogers, Haaland, Joao Pedro. They hold Hall, Gibbs-White, Gross, Barry, De Cuyper, Van Hecke, Olusesi, Dubravka; we hold Isak, Szoboszlai, Ndiaye, Maguire, Gomez, Thomas, Diop, Kinsky.

NEW ARTICLES:
Scout (Leeds 0-0 Palace): Muharemovic (5.0) is Leeds best defensive asset - most shots on the pitch, all four from set plays, no blank in 5 GWs (1 assist, 2 CS, 6 DefCon). Leeds joint-fewest goals conceded (3). Stach (6.0) hit the DefCon threshold a 3rd time in 5 and is 2nd among mids for total DefCons (61) behind Janelt, even playing advanced. Palace kept a surprise CS after 11 conceded in 4 - defence genuinely improved under Sage. Tomiyasu (4.4) off at HT with a calf, Sage says not serious; override set to 30% with the break to recover. Sarr still rusty off the bench.

£50 Super League 25-26 — GW5

1. Thomas Mairs — 365
2. MIKE PERRY — 363
3. Carl Perry — 342

Gameweek Winner: Ben Shelley (53)
Bench Muppet: Matty Hatton (27)
Captain Cock-up: Ethan Smith, Gary Lewis & Paul Copestake +2 more (2)
Sheep of the Week: Matty Hatton (55.1%)
Maverick: Will Rowlands (25.6%)
Green Arrow: Will Rowlands (713,766)
Red Arrow: Andy Flanagan (958,359)

Hatton’s and Clays’ — GW5

1. andrew clays — 324
2. Matty Hatton — 313
3. Chris Hatton — 296

Gameweek Winner: andrew clays (47)
Bench Muppet: Matty Hatton (27)
Sheep of the Week: Matty Hatton (68.2%)
Maverick: Amy Hatton (56.8%)
Green Arrow: andrew clays (18,681)
Red Arrow: Matty Hatton (754,529)

💰 Predicted price moves:
📈 Calafiori £5.8m (owned) — close

ELITE CONSENSUS XI: not available today — the Elite XI and Captain reveal pages scraped as navigation only (squad is JS-rendered), so no XI or captain split to compare. Our XI for reference: Kinsky; Konsa, Calafiori, Maguire; Palmer, Szoboszlai, Rogers, Ndiaye; Isak, Haaland, Joao Pedro.

NEW ARTICLES:
Scout (GW5 notes, Bournemouth 0-1 Liverpool): Isak scored his 4th of the season, already past last term's league tally of 3 — our captain-adjacent asset is live. Szoboszlai anonymous, 12 pts in 4 games, 3rd-most sold since deadline (106k out) with Liverpool bottom of the fixture ticker for the next six GWs — we hold him, so he is the obvious sell candidate over the break. Liverpool kept a 3rd straight clean sheet with Araujo at RB; van Dijk banked DefCon for a 2nd match running (6.5m, cheap route into that defence). Kluivert out "for some weeks" (Rose) — already flagged i/0 by FPL. Ryan Christie (5.0m) takes the 10, match-high 4 shots on debut in the role; override set to 88% start chance. Tavernier hooked on 74 mins, earliest of the season, with Europe causing a fixture pile-up at Bournemouth.

💰 Predicted price moves:
📈 Calafiori £5.8m (owned) — close

ELITE CONSENSUS XI: unavailable today. The freshly scraped elite_xi.txt and captain.txt contain only site navigation, no squad or captain split (Fix reveal pages are JS-rendered/members-gated), so no overlap comparison against our squad was possible.

NEW ARTICLES: no new articles today (Fantasy Football Fix: none; Fantasy Football Scout: none).

No player overrides set, model not re-run.

ELITE CONSENSUS XI (Fix, updated 18 Sept 21:39, GW6): Verbruggen; Konsa, N.Williams, Calafiori; Gibbs-White, Rogers, Palmer, Gross; Wissa, Haaland, Barry. Captain split: Haaland 58.3%, Palmer 33.3%, Gibbs-White 8.3%. Their top transfers in: Konsa, Rogers, Raya (out: Thomas, B.Fernandes, Kinsky). Overlap 6/11 with our XI: we share Verbruggen, Konsa, Calafiori, Rogers, Palmer, Haaland. They hold Gibbs-White, Wissa, Barry, Gross, N.Williams; we hold Isak, Joao Pedro (status d), Szoboszlai, Ndiaye, Maguire, Kinsky. Note the elites are actively selling Kinsky (we still start him) and Thomas (our bench). We match their captain (Haaland).

NEW ARTICLES: no new articles today.

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✅ Final check GW5 (~2h to deadline): plan unchanged — HOLD. Nothing to do beyond what you've seen.

💰 Predicted price moves:
📈 Haaland £15.5m (owned) — FPL: changes tonight
📈 Konsa £4.5m (owned) — FPL: changes tomorrow

— Your team —
HOLD — roll the free transfer (1 banked). No move clears the bar.
Captain: Haaland (MCI, 31.8 xPts, starts 83%).

— Shadow team (A/B — apply these moves to the second account) —
HOLD — roll the free transfer (4 banked). No move clears the bar.
Captain: Haaland (MCI, 31.8 xPts, starts 83%).

— Roadmap —
GW5: Ndiaye→Tavernier
GW6: Maguire→De Cuyper
GW7: João Pedro→Barry
GW8: Konsa→Bogle

⏳ Bench Boost (set 1) EXPIRES after GW19 — and no DGW is expected before then. Don't hoard it: spend it on the best ordinary week in the window (last season's champion used TC in GW6 and BB in GW10).

⏳ Triple Captain (set 1) EXPIRES after GW19 — and no DGW is expected before then. Don't hoard it: spend it on the best ordinary week in the window (last season's champion used TC in GW6 and BB in GW10).

⏳ Wildcard (set 1) EXPIRES after GW19 — and no DGW is expected before then. Don't hoard it: spend it on the best ordinary week in the window (last season's champion used TC in GW6 and BB in GW10).

⏳ Free Hit (set 1) EXPIRES after GW19 — and no DGW is expected before then. Don't hoard it: spend it on the best ordinary week in the window (last season's champion used TC in GW6 and BB in GW10).

— Flags on your players —
🚑 João Pedro: d — Unspecified injury - 75% chance of playing

— Overrides worth re-checking —
⏳ Bijol p=80%, 32d old: Scout 2026-08-16 (LEE 4-0 Augsburg): Bijol STARTED at CB in the GW1-shaped XI, played 67 mins - supersedes the stale 08-03 knee-injury override, he is fit and in the back three
⏳ E.Le Fée p=85%, 32d old: Scout 2026-08-16 (SUN 2-1 Rennes): Le Fee started and stayed in the central '10' role, heavily involved 2nd half, shares set plays with Xhaka
⏳ Aaronson p=85%, 32d old: Scout 2026-08-16 (LEE 4-0 Augsburg): Aaronson started as left-sided 10 in the final pre-season XI Scout says resembles GW1, assisted the opener; Okafor only just back from post-WC break
⏳ Okafor p=30%, 32d old: Scout 2026-08-16 (LEE 4-0 Augsburg): Okafor a 67th-min sub, only recently back from post-World Cup break; Farke says late returners need time to reach 100%
⏳ Longstaff p=35%, 32d old: Scout 2026-08-16 (LEE 4-0 Augsburg): Longstaff a 68th-min sub; Ampadu+Stach were the starting midfield pair in the GW1-shaped XI

— Overrides the predicted XI now disagrees with —
🔀 Mendy pinned at 2%, Scout now STARTS him: Scout 2026-09-13: concussion vs Chelsea, manager says out 100% for GW5
🔀 Maatsen pinned at 5%, Scout now STARTS him: Scout 2026-09-15: ankle, set to be sidelined for weeks
🔀 Pau pinned at 5%, Scout now STARTS him: Scout 2026-09-15: hamstring, set to be sidelined for weeks (FPL 75% stale)
🔀 Amenda pinned at 5%, Scout now STARTS him: Scout 2026-09-17: calf injury vs Villa, Lampard "would expect not available" GW5
🔀 J.Ramsey pinned at 10%, Scout now STARTS him: Scout 2026-09-15: thigh injury in GW4 warm-up; Jaissle "doesn't look good" for GW5

— Overrides a match has already settled —
✅ Gudmundsson pinned at 15%, has since STARTED (2026-09-14): Scout 2026-08-28: hamstring, only rejoined team training today
✅ Mukiele pinned at 15%, has since STARTED (2026-09-12): Scout 2026-08-20 (SUN season preview)   FPL feed: squad kept together in full, Mukiele named among the key assets, and FPL now lists him a / 100% fit. GW1-2 stays 0.15 (Le Bris benched him 08-10 and Scout 08-20 predicted XI still omits him), but the flat 0.15 through GW8 contradicted our own O Nien time box, whose stated premise is Mukiele and Alderete coming back. 32 starts / 2784 mins in 2025/26. 0.65 not 0.85 from GW3 because Scout headline "Sunderland sign Meunier - what does it mean for Mukiele?" is a rival-for-the-slot signal we do not hold in full.
✅ Tomiyasu pinned at 15%, has since STARTED (2026-09-12): Scout 2026-08-18 (CRY team preview): Tomiyasu is "likely well down the pecking order - think the new Nathaniel Clyne - as a right-sided centre-back". One of three right-sided defenders signed this summer; omitted from the Scout GW1 predicted XI, 0 pre-season minutes for Palace beyond a friendly debut, and behind Richards/Chadi Riad/Canvot in the back three. Model had him at the 0.50 unknown-newcomer default, which is not a considered value.
✅ Martinez pinned at 20%, has since STARTED (2026-09-12): Scout 2026-08-23 (BHA 4-0 AVL): E.Martinez absent from the matchday squad amid transfer uncertainty, with Bizot starting and new signing Suzuki on the bench. Confirms the 08-18 override's direction; cut 0.40 -> 0.20 because he has now missed a competitive fixture with no injury flag.
✅ Emersonn pinned at 20%, has since STARTED (2026-09-12): Scout 2026-09-02 deadline day: knee injury from last weekend still live, and Ipswich signed Zian Flemming (11 Burnley goals last season) after missing on Abraham - 'Flemming may now have the chance to stake a first-team claim'. Tightens the 08-31 knock override

— Modelled as bench, started anyway —
🪑 Martinez at 20%, started 90' on 2026-09-12: Scout 2026-08-23 (BHA 4-0 AVL): E.Martinez absent from the matchday squad amid transfer uncertainty, with Bizot starting and new signing Suzuki on the bench. Confirms the 08-18 override's direction; cut 0.40 -> 0.20 because he has now missed a competitive fixture with no injury flag.
🪑 Wan-Bissaka at 41%, started 90' on 2026-09-12 (no override — nothing else reports him)
🪑 Colwill at 45%, started 90' on 2026-09-12: Scout 2026-09-07: benched, only fit enough for bench after "little things during the week"
🪑 Schlager at 45%, started 90' on 2026-09-12: Scout 2026-08-24 (NFO 0-1 LEE): Schlager was NOT in the Forest XI - 16 mins off the bench, with McAtee starting in that slot. The predicted-XI feed had him starting and floored him at 0.85; the actual competitive selection outranks it.
🪑 Diomande at 45%, started 90' on 2026-09-12: Scout 2026-08-24 (NFO 0-1 LEE): Diomande played ZERO minutes in GW1 while Milenkovic, Murillo and Jair Cunha all went 90 in the back three, and Williams/Aina filled the wing-back roles Glasner 'loves pushed high upfield'. The predicted-XI feed had him starting at 0.85.

— Overrides about to wake up —
⏰ Palestra back in 1d (2026-09-18), then pinned at 0%: Scout/Fix 2026-09-11: Palestra confirmed out this weekend
⏰ Caicedo back in 1d (2026-09-18), then pinned at 0%: Scout/Fix 2026-09-11: Caicedo not risked, Alonso says back for GW5 Brentford
⏰ Emegha back in 1d (2026-09-18), then pinned at 0%: Scout/Fix 2026-09-11: Emegha out, hoped back for GW5
⏰ Doku back in 3d (2026-09-20), then pinned at 2%: Scout 2026-08-21 (Friday GW1 team news): Maresca confirms Doku (calf) is City's ONLY absentee this weekend, and reports say 'several weeks'. Supersedes the 08-18 0.70 ice-pack note; Scout 06:54 XI also omits him. Boxed to GW3 (~3wks) then back to the bench cap.

— Injured, but back inside the horizon —
🩹 Jensen back 2026-09-18 — modelled 0 for GW5-12; available from GW5 — a flat override, nothing to box
🩹 Baleba back 2026-09-19 — modelled 0 for GW5-12; available from GW5 — a flat override, nothing to box
🩹 Burn back 2026-09-19 — modelled 0 for GW5-12; available from GW5 — a flat override, nothing to box
🩹 Dasilva back 2026-10-10 — modelled 0 for GW6-12; box an override to GW5
🩹 Mitoma back 2026-10-10 — modelled 0 for GW6-12; box an override to GW5

— Price watch tonight —
📈 Bogle £4.5m (likely tonight)
📈 Haaland £15.5m (likely tonight)
📈 Ødegaard £6.7m (close)
📉 Wirtz £7.4m (likely tonight)
📉 Damsgaard £5.5m (likely tonight)
📉 Wilson £6.3m (likely tonight)

📝 The optimiser's answer this week is the least exciting one available: do nothing. Zero transfers, zero projected gain, and the hold-vs-move check agrees. That's not a bug — it's the model telling you your squad is already close to what your budget can buy, and the alternatives all cost real money in team value or points hits to unlock.

Worth reading the scenarios honestly, though. One transfer projects +20.7 points over eight weeks, two +25.6, three +30.1. Those aren't nothing. The catch is they're spread across two months, which is roughly two and a half points a week — comfortably inside the noise of one injury, one rotation, one red card. Marginal, in other words, and the model is right to decline.

Haaland captains again because the fixture is fine and the alternative is inventing a reason not to. Don't expect 32 points; expect him to keep hitting his floor.

The real risk with holding is fixture drift — a squad that's fine now can look stale by GW8. Bank the transfer, watch the price moves, and reassess when the swing is worth more than a rounding error.

ELITE CONSENSUS XI (GW5): Kinsky; Konsa, Calafiori, Hall; Rogers, Palmer, Szoboszlai, Mbeumo; Calvert-Lewin, Haaland, Joao Pedro (bench: Dubravka, O Shea, De Cuyper, Gross). Captain split: Haaland 75%, B.Fernandes 8.3%, Gibbs-White 8.3%. Top elite transfers: Szoboszlai/Foden OUT for Gibbs-White IN, Gabriel OUT for Tarkowski IN. Avg team value 100.3m, 0.6m ITB, 1.7 FTs, 0 hits.
OVERLAP: 8/15 shared (Kinsky, Konsa, Calafiori, Palmer, Szoboszlai, Rogers, Haaland, Joao Pedro). They hold Hall, Mbeumo, Calvert-Lewin, Dubravka, O Shea, De Cuyper, Gross; we hold Verbruggen, Maguire, Ndiaye, Isak, Gomez, Thomas, Diop. Note the elites are actively moving off Szoboszlai (we still hold him) toward Gibbs-White.
NEW ARTICLES: no new articles today.